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An edition of Velocity Meter

Market Signals

Market intelligence, trading signals, and investment insights.

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44 briefings
published

Velocity Meter Market Signals

European Equities Are Trouncing the S&P 500

European equities are outperforming US markets as the Fed decentralizes its structure, creating a new, ambiguous regime for capital allocators by moving away from explicit forward guidance.

· 14 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

Will China's Tech Shift Redefine Western Market Entry?

Global economics realign: technology leadership shifts, market dynamics upend, and Western markets face disinflation and labor changes amidst a fundamental tech and trade power shift.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

How Is the Bond Market Driving 30-Year Treasury Yields?

The Fed is stepping back from explicit guidance, forcing markets to function with less hand-holding. This is a regime change from the post-2008 era.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

Will China's Playbook Drive Oil to $200 and Reshape Global Money?

The market demands ROI from AI and faces rising costs from geopolitical shocks. China’s strategic plays might drive oil to $200 and redefine international…

· 13 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

The Market Lost Its Tolerance for Company Spending

The market's narrative is unraveling as persistent inflation and energy tightness clash with AI's promised productivity.

· 15 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

Man Group Ramps up AI Token Consumption by 86x

The investment landscape is shifting from broad AI enthusiasm to a sharp focus on its tangible costs and ROI.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

S&P Trades at 21x Earnings, but EM Growth Is Just as Strong

The US is quietly rewriting the rules of capitalism by acting as an implicit guarantor for massive capital expenditures, particularly in AI infrastructure.

· 13 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

The AI Gold Rush Is Over, Now CFOs Demand ROI

The AI gold rush created a massive spending cycle, but now the bill is due. With memory costs soaring and CapEx expected to double.

· 15 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

2008 All Over Again? An AI Credit Event Is Looming

Equity markets are calm, but geopolitical "high-value pauses" reshape energy markets, and an AI credit crisis brews. This means your cost of capital is likely higher than it appears.

· 13 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

SpaceX Is Worth 10x Its Revenue — Why Investors Pay Up

SpaceX's soaring valuation, despite lower revenue, spotlights a new era where capital markets prioritize transformative potential over traditional financial metrics.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

AI Boom Outpaces 2005 Housing Peak; CoreWeave's $10B Backlog

The AI boom is not just redefining markets; it's outstripping the 2005 housing peak and fueling CoreWeave's massive $10B backlog, signaling a dramatic shift in capital.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

Brennan's 'flock' market, NVR's 62,000% gain, Iran's 441kg. Not a glitch.

The market's structural shift towards inelasticity, driven by price-insensitive passive flows.

· 11 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

AI's Impact on the Web: Micropayments, Digital Assets, and Geopolitical Shifts

Cloudflare's CEO Matthew Prince details how AI is strip-mining the internet, threatening content creators' revenue and pushing for new micropayment systems.

· 13 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

Economic Resilience, Inflation, and AI Drive Market Dynamics

The global economy is showing surprising resilience amidst persistent inflation and mechanical flows. AI continues to drive valuation discussions as markets recalibrate for a new economic regime.

· 12 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

74-Year Low Consumer Sentiment vs. Top 10% Spending

Consumer sentiment sits at a 74-year low, yet the top 10% continue spending, revealing a K-shaped recovery. Real growth and risk are re-evaluating.

· 10 min read

Velocity Meter Market Signals

The AI blind spot. $90 Brent crude and PIMCO’s credit warning.

The AI boom is masking unprecedented geopolitical turmoil, with capital shifting into energy, metals, and consumer staples. Brent crude above $90/barrel indicates sustained inflation.

· 13 min read